This exercise is appropriate for sophomore to junior-level biology or environmental studies students with at least introductory knowledge of ecological principles such as food webs, predator-prey interactions and population dynamics, and with some experience interpreting graphs.
The "Step One-Step Two" approach is explained in the "Interpreting Figures and Tables" essay. As the essay explains, students often have difficulty interpreting figures because they do not realize that understanding figures takes time. This approach slows them down and requires them to pay attention to axes and other aspects of a figure.
Students should either read the background material, or be given a "mini-lecture" summary of the setting and background for the issue, and then work in pairs to interpret the figures. They should be able to recognize that the graphs show a significant decline in woody vegetation recruitment (for cottonwoods) and growth (for willows), starting as early as the 1930's, followed by a release of seedlings and an increase in willow height around 2001. (Note: In Figure 1-1 you might need to point out the black bar on the right hand side that indicates seedling abundance, and make sure students realize it is on a different scale.) They should also note that the observed distribution of cottonwood age classes is quite different than the expected distribution. The data on willow height are more qualitative (why?), but show a similar pattern. This should get the students thinking about what could have happened during the decades since 1930 to prevent the establishment and/or survival and growth of cottonwood seedlings and willows, and what happened in (or before) 2001 to allow for the establishment of so many seedlings and the increase in average height of willows.
I suggest letting students grapple with the figures on their own for several minutes before coming back to a question and answer session with the whole group. If the instructor circulates among pairs of students, s/he will probably get a feel for what the major sticking points are for students and can then address these via discussion with the whole class. Good discussion questions the instructor can use to help clarify students' confusion, and to guide them in correct and careful interpretation of the figures include the following, which address some common points of confusion for students:
Each instructor will have to read their class to determine how much, if any, of this large group discussion and de-briefing is needed before students are ready to move on to the next step, which is generating hypotheses to explain the trends shown in the two figures.
Students usually suggest two general categories of hypotheses (though other ideas may surface as well, and can be good fodder for discussion if time allows):
You should call on some of the student pairs to write one or more of their hypotheses on the board for class discussion. The next figure set will allow them to address the two general categories of hypotheses listed above, so try to guide the class towards grouping similar hypotheses together, and possibly re-phrasing them as necessary. Each student pair should also turn in written versions of their hypotheses, to be assessed against a simple rubric such as the one included here. When the hypothesis papers are returned in the next class period, it would be a good idea to go over this rubric in detail with the students so they can learn from their mistakes and work towards writing cleaner hypotheses in the future.
Hypothesis Scoring Rubric
The Hypothesis: | focuses on one manipulated variable; is very specific, simply stated and easily testable; clearly addresses the problem; is written using a clear and consistent format (i.e. "If. Then. Because."). | focuses on one manipulated variable; is specific, but not crystallized into a simple statement and might not be easily tested; contains a prediction demonstrating some connection to the knowledge of the student but it is not communicated fully; is clearly written (i.e. "If. Then. Because."). | focuses on one variable but does not provide an explanation as to why the prediction was made; addresses the problem indirectly; is expressed in confusing or unclear language (i.e. does not use "If. Then. Because." format). | does not focus on or identify a specific variable; does not address the problem or does so very indirectly; is expressed in confusing and unclear language (i.e. does not use "If. Then. Because." format). |
Score: | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
(Adapted from http://www.eastmont206.com/ejhs/html/profile/staff/thibault/rubrics/hypothesis%20rubric.htm)